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Matchday 17 of the Championship brings an intriguing clash as Swansea City AFC host Derby County FC. Scheduled for November 25, 2025, this fixture pits a struggling Swansea side against a more mid-table Derby team. Swansea will be looking to leverage their home advantage and strong historical record against Derby to climb out of the lower echelons of the league, while Derby aims to solidify their position and push towards the playoff spots. This encounter promises a tactical battle at the Swansea.com Stadium.
Current League Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 37 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 30 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Bristol City FC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Preston North End FC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 25 |
| 7 | Millwall FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 25 |
| 8 | Ipswich Town FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 24 |
| 9 | Birmingham City FC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 | Leicester City FC | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 24 |
| 11 | Watford FC | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 |
| 12 | Derby County FC | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic FC | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Southampton FC | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21 |
| 17 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -4 | 19 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 17 |
| 20 | Swansea City AFC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 | Oxford United FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 14 |
| 22 | Sheffield United FC | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | -12 | 13 |
| 23 | Norwich City FC | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -20 | 8 |
- Swansea City AFC: Position 20th, 16 Played, 4 Wins, 5 Draws, 7 Losses, 17 Points. Goal Difference: -7 (15 GF, 22 GA).
- Derby County FC: Position 12th, 16 Played, 6 Wins, 5 Draws, 5 Losses, 23 Points. Goal Difference: 0 (22 GF, 22 GA).
Derby County currently sits 8 places above Swansea, indicating a more stable and successful season thus far. Swansea’s goal difference suggests issues both in attack and defense, putting pressure on them to perform at home.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Recent Encounters
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2025 | Championship | Swansea City AFC | 1 - 0 | Derby County FC |
| 27 Nov 2024 | Championship | Derby County FC | 1 - 2 | Swansea City AFC |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Championship | Swansea City AFC | 2 - 1 | Derby County FC |
| 02 Oct 2021 | Championship | Derby County FC | 0 - 0 | Swansea City AFC |
| 01 May 2021 | Championship | Swansea City AFC | 2 - 1 | Derby County FC |
The historical matchups between Swansea City and Derby County paint an interesting picture. In their last 7 encounters in the Championship:
- Swansea City Wins: 4
- Derby County Wins: 2
- Draws: 1
Notably, Swansea has won 3 of their last 4 home games against Derby, including a crucial 1-0 victory in April 2025. They also secured a 2-1 away win in November 2024. This recent head-to-head record suggests Swansea often finds a way to perform against the Rams, regardless of their league form. A significant trend to observe is that 6 of the last 7 direct encounters between these two sides have seen fewer than 2.5 goals scored, highlighting a history of tight, low-scoring contests.
Our Prediction
Considering Swansea’s struggles in the league this season but their strong recent head-to-head record against Derby, particularly at home, this match presents a complex betting scenario. Derby’s current form is superior, but they historically find it tough against the Swans. The most compelling trend, however, points to a low-scoring affair. Both teams are not prolific scorers this season, with Swansea averaging less than a goal per game. Furthermore, a remarkable 6 out of their last 7 direct meetings have finished with Under 2.5 goals. We anticipate a cautious game where neither side will give much away.
Our Betting Tip:
Under 2.5 Goals
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