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Freiburg vs Mainz 05 Prediction

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Bundesliga action heats up on November 30, 2025, as SC Freiburg hosts 1. FSV Mainz 05 in a crucial Matchday 12 encounter. Freiburg, currently sitting 11th in the league table, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against a struggling Mainz side. The hosts have had a mixed start to the season, with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses from their 11 games, scoring 15 goals and conceding 20.

Mainz 05, on the other hand, finds themselves in a precarious 17th position, deep in the relegation zone. Their season has been challenging, managing only 1 win, 3 draws, and 7 losses in 11 matches. With a goal difference of -8 (11 goals scored, 19 conceded), Mainz will be desperate for points to kickstart their survival bid, but face a tough task on the road.

Current League Standings

League Table
PosTeamPlWDLGDPts
1FC Bayern München1110103331
2RB Leipzig11812925
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen117221223
4Borussia Dortmund11641922
5VfB Stuttgart11713522
6Eintracht Frankfurt11623520
7TSG 1899 Hoffenheim11623520
81. FC Union Berlin11434-315
9SV Werder Bremen11434-515
101. FC Köln11425114
11SC Freiburg11344-513
12Borussia Mönchengladbach11335-312
13FC Augsburg11317-910
14Hamburger SV11236-89
15VfL Wolfsburg11227-88
16FC St. Pauli 191011218-127
171. FSV Mainz 0511137-86
181. FC Heidenheim 184611128-185
  • SC Freiburg: 11th position, 13 points (3W, 4D, 4L). Goals: 15 For, 20 Against.
  • 1. FSV Mainz 05: 17th position, 6 points (1W, 3D, 7L). Goals: 11 For, 19 Against.

Head-to-Head Analysis

H2H Results Table

Recent Encounters

DateCompetitionHome TeamScoreAway Team
15 Mar 2025Bundesliga1. FSV Mainz 052 - 2SC Freiburg
03 Nov 2024BundesligaSC Freiburg0 - 01. FSV Mainz 05
21 Apr 2024BundesligaSC Freiburg1 - 11. FSV Mainz 05
03 Dec 2023Bundesliga1. FSV Mainz 050 - 1SC Freiburg
19 Mar 2023Bundesliga1. FSV Mainz 051 - 1SC Freiburg

The historical matchups between SC Freiburg and Mainz 05 tell a fascinating story, heavily influenced by draws. In their last 11 Bundesliga encounters, an astonishing 6 matches have ended in a stalemate. Remarkably, the last three consecutive fixtures between these two teams all finished in draws: a 2-2 thriller in March 2025, a goalless 0-0 encounter in November 2024, and a 1-1 result in April 2024.

While Freiburg has secured 3 wins and Mainz 2 wins in this period, the prevalence of draws suggests a deeply competitive and often evenly matched rivalry, regardless of current league form. The average goals per game in their last 11 meetings stands at 3.27, yet many of these draws have been low-scoring (0-0, 1-1), interspersed with higher-scoring affairs (2-2, 1-3).

Our Prediction

Despite Mainz’s struggles this season, the head-to-head record between these two clubs is too significant to ignore. The sheer number of draws, including the last three consecutive meetings, points towards a recurring pattern of shared spoils. Freiburg will be looking for a decisive win at home, but Mainz’s desperation for points could lead to a resilient performance.

Considering the historical tendency for parity and the recent deadlock in their encounters, we anticipate another closely fought match that could very well end without a clear winner. The value lies in backing the most frequent outcome between these sides.

Our expert tip for this Bundesliga clash is:

Draw

 

Sportsbook List
1

BetUS Sportsbook

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Only your first three deposits qualify for this bonus. The required deposit to qualify for this incentive is $25. $1,000 is the maximum bonus per deposit. To receive this bonus, players must enter the relevant bonus code. Before the deposit, bonus, and any wins can be withdrawn, there is a 40X playthrough requirement on the total amount of the deposit and bonus.
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Betway Sportsbook

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Only your first three deposits qualify for this bonus. The required deposit to qualify for this incentive is $25. $1,000 is the maximum bonus per deposit. To receive this bonus, players must enter the relevant bonus code. Before the deposit, bonus, and any wins can be withdrawn, there is a 40X playthrough requirement on the total amount of the deposit and bonus.
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MyBookie Sportsbook

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WELCOME OFFERS ARE ONLY AVAILABLE TO NEW CUSTOMERS ON THEIR FIRST DEPOSIT. MINIMUM DEPOSIT AMOUNT TO QUALIFY IS $50. THE BONUS IS CREDITED AS FREE PLAY WITH A 10-TIME ROLLOVER. TO CLAIM THIS BONUS, REDEEM THE PROMOCODE IN THE CASHIER WHILE COMPLETING YOUR FIRST DEPOSIT. ADDITIONAL TERMS AND CONDITIONS APPLY. SEE SITE FOR FULL DETAILS.
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xBet Sportsbook

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Only available to new customers. Credit Card Welcome Bonus will be credited in the form of Bonus Bets. We match 50% of your First Deposit as a bonus. The maximum bonus to be awarded is $200. This bonus requires a minimum deposit of $50. There’s a 10x playthrough requirement attached to the Bonus Bets. The promotion is valid on your First Deposit only. Redeem promo code XBWELCOME50 in the cashier to get this bonus. You must have a successful deposit to get the bonus credited to your Bonus Bets balance.
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