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Lille vs Marseille Prediction

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Ligue 1 action heats up on Matchday 15 as Lille OSC welcomes Olympique de Marseille to their home turf on December 5, 2025. This highly anticipated fixture pits two of France’s top teams against each other, both vying for crucial points in their European qualification bids. Lille, currently sitting 5th in the league, will look to leverage their home advantage against a high-flying Marseille side, positioned 2nd and enjoying a stellar start to the season. Expect a tactical battle with plenty of attacking intent from both camps, making for an exciting spectacle.

Current League Standings

League Table
PosTeamPlWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint-Germain FC139311630
2Olympique de Marseille139132128
3Racing Club de Lens139131128
4Stade Rennais FC 190114662624
5Lille OSC137241023
6RC Strasbourg Alsace13715722
7Olympique Lyonnais13634321
8AS Monaco FC13625020
9OGC Nice13526-517
10Toulouse FC13445116
11Angers SCO13445-416
12Paris FC13427-514
13Le Havre AC13355-714
14Stade Brestois 2913346-613
15FC Nantes13256-711
16FC Lorient13256-1211
17FC Metz14329-1711
18AJ Auxerre13229-128
  • Olympique de Marseille (2nd): Played 13, Won 9, Drawn 1, Lost 3, Points 28, Goals For 33, Goals Against 12, Goal Difference +21.
  • Lille OSC (5th): Played 13, Won 7, Drawn 2, Lost 4, Points 23, Goals For 27, Goals Against 17, Goal Difference +10.

Marseille comes into this match in fantastic form, boasting an impressive goal-scoring record and a solid defensive foundation that has propelled them to second place. Lille is also having a strong season, particularly in attack, and will be eager to close the five-point gap to Marseille and solidify their position in the top five.

Head-to-Head Analysis

H2H Results Table

Recent Encounters

DateCompetitionHome TeamScoreAway Team
04 May 2025Ligue 1Lille OSC1 - 1Olympique de Marseille
14 Dec 2024Ligue 1Olympique de Marseille1 - 1Lille OSC
05 Apr 2024Ligue 1Lille OSC3 - 1Olympique de Marseille
04 Nov 2023Ligue 1Olympique de Marseille0 - 0Lille OSC
20 May 2023Ligue 1Lille OSC2 - 1Olympique de Marseille

The history between Lille and Marseille has often been tightly contested, with several draws in recent memory. Across their last 11 encounters in Ligue 1:

  • Lille Wins: 4
  • Marseille Wins: 2
  • Draws: 5

Notably, when Lille has hosted Marseille, their record is particularly strong, securing 4 wins, 1 draw, and just 1 loss in the last 6 home fixtures. The two most recent matches, both played in 2024 and 2025, ended in 1-1 draws. While there have been a few low-scoring affairs, the overall head-to-head average (40 goals in 15 matches, approx. 2.67 goals per game) suggests goals are a common feature. Both teams have shown a propensity to score against each other, with 7 of the last 11 H2H seeing both teams find the net.

Our Prediction

Considering Marseille’s explosive attack (33 goals in 13 games) and Lille’s potent home form (27 goals in 13 games overall), this match has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair. While head-to-head records have sometimes seen tight contests, the current season’s offensive statistics for both sides strongly point towards a game with multiple goals. Marseille’s ability to score consistently, even away from home, combined with Lille’s excellent record when hosting their rivals, makes us confident in predicting a lively encounter.

Our betting tip for this Ligue 1 clash is:

Over 2.5 Goals

 

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BetUS Sportsbook

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Only your first three deposits qualify for this bonus. The required deposit to qualify for this incentive is $25. $1,000 is the maximum bonus per deposit. To receive this bonus, players must enter the relevant bonus code. Before the deposit, bonus, and any wins can be withdrawn, there is a 40X playthrough requirement on the total amount of the deposit and bonus.
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Betway Sportsbook

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Only your first three deposits qualify for this bonus. The required deposit to qualify for this incentive is $25. $1,000 is the maximum bonus per deposit. To receive this bonus, players must enter the relevant bonus code. Before the deposit, bonus, and any wins can be withdrawn, there is a 40X playthrough requirement on the total amount of the deposit and bonus.
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MyBookie Sportsbook

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WELCOME OFFERS ARE ONLY AVAILABLE TO NEW CUSTOMERS ON THEIR FIRST DEPOSIT. MINIMUM DEPOSIT AMOUNT TO QUALIFY IS $50. THE BONUS IS CREDITED AS FREE PLAY WITH A 10-TIME ROLLOVER. TO CLAIM THIS BONUS, REDEEM THE PROMOCODE IN THE CASHIER WHILE COMPLETING YOUR FIRST DEPOSIT. ADDITIONAL TERMS AND CONDITIONS APPLY. SEE SITE FOR FULL DETAILS.
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Only available to new customers. Credit Card Welcome Bonus will be credited in the form of Bonus Bets. We match 50% of your First Deposit as a bonus. The maximum bonus to be awarded is $200. This bonus requires a minimum deposit of $50. There’s a 10x playthrough requirement attached to the Bonus Bets. The promotion is valid on your First Deposit only. Redeem promo code XBWELCOME50 in the cashier to get this bonus. You must have a successful deposit to get the bonus credited to your Bonus Bets balance.
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