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The Ligue 1 season continues with a critical relegation six-pointer featuring AJ Auxerre hosting FC Metz. This Matchday 15 fixture sees two teams battling at the foot of the table, desperate for points to climb out of the drop zone. Auxerre, currently propping up the league in 18th place, desperately needs a home win to kickstart their campaign. They face a Metz side that sits just above them in 17th, having played one more game but also struggling significantly. Both teams will view this as an opportunity to gain ground on a direct rival, promising a tense and hard-fought encounter at the Stade de l’Abbé-Deschamps.
Current League Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 30 |
| 2 | Olympique de Marseille | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 28 |
| 3 | Racing Club de Lens | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 24 |
| 5 | Lille OSC | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 23 |
| 6 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 | Olympique Lyonnais | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | AS Monaco FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 20 |
| 9 | OGC Nice | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 17 |
| 10 | Toulouse FC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 |
| 11 | Angers SCO | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 14 |
| 13 | Le Havre AC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Stade Brestois 29 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Nantes | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Lorient | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Metz | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | AJ Auxerre | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 8 |
- 17. FC Metz: Played 14, Won 3, Drawn 2, Lost 9, Points 11, Goals For 14, Goals Against 31, Goal Difference -17
- 18. AJ Auxerre: Played 13, Won 2, Drawn 2, Lost 9, Points 8, Goals For 7, Goals Against 19, Goal Difference -12
Head-to-Head Analysis
Historically, matches between Auxerre and Metz have often been tightly contested. Across 15 recorded encounters, a total of 35 goals have been scored, averaging approximately 2.33 goals per match. While detailed match results are not available, this average suggests that these fixtures tend to be low-to-medium scoring affairs. Given the current struggles of both teams, particularly their attacking inefficiencies (Auxerre) and defensive vulnerabilities (Metz), past trends of cautious play might still influence this crucial contest.
Our Prediction
This match pits the league’s lowest scorers, Auxerre, against a Metz side with the league’s worst defensive record. Auxerre has managed only 7 goals in 13 games, while Metz has conceded a staggering 31 goals in 14 outings. Despite Metz’s porous defense, Auxerre’s inability to find the back of the net consistently is a major concern. Auxerre’s games this season have averaged only 2 goals, aligning closely with the historical head-to-head average of 2.33 goals per game between these two sides. In a high-stakes relegation battle, both teams are likely to prioritize avoiding defeat, which often leads to a more cautious approach and fewer goals. While Metz’s games have averaged higher goals due to their defensive woes, against anemic attack like Auxerre’s, we anticipate a more contained affair. Therefore, the smart money is on a scarcity of goals in this encounter.
Our top betting tip for this Ligue 1 clash is:
Under 2.5 Goals
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