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As the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A season draws to a close, Fluminense FC are set to host EC Bahia in a highly anticipated Matchday 38 clash. This crucial encounter on December 7th, 2025, sees two continental qualification hopefuls battle it out for a stronger finish to their campaigns. Fluminense, playing on home turf, will be looking to leverage their advantage and secure a vital three points against a resilient Bahia side.
Current League Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense FC | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo FR | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | São Paulo FC | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Grêmio FBPA | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | CR Vasco da Gama | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceará SC | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | EC Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | -16 | 39 |
| 18 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | EC Juventude | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | SC Recife | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | -41 | 17 |
The stakes are high for both clubs as they sit within touching distance of each other in the Brasileirão table:
- Fluminense FC: Currently in 5th position with 58 points from 36 games (17 wins, 7 draws, 12 losses). They have scored 46 goals and conceded 38, boasting a goal difference of +8. Fluminense is aiming to solidify a Copa Libertadores spot.
- EC Bahia: Close behind in 7th place with 57 points from 36 games (16 wins, 9 draws, 11 losses). Bahia has netted 48 goals and conceded 44, holding a goal difference of +4. They will be eager to leapfrog Fluminense and improve their continental standing.
With only one point separating these two teams, this final match of the season carries immense weight for their aspirations.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Recent Encounters
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | EC Bahia | 3 - 3 | Fluminense FC |
| 04 Aug 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Fluminense FC | 1 - 0 | EC Bahia |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | EC Bahia | 2 - 1 | Fluminense FC |
| 31 Oct 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | EC Bahia | 1 - 0 | Fluminense FC |
| 24 Jun 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Fluminense FC | 2 - 1 | EC Bahia |
Looking at the recent history between Fluminense and Bahia, the encounters have often been competitive. Across their last 9 meetings in the Série A, Fluminense has recorded 5 wins, Bahia has 3 wins, and there has been 1 draw. Notably, Fluminense has an impressive record when playing at home against Bahia, winning their last four home matches against them:
- 2024-08-04: Fluminense 1 – 0 Bahia
- 2023-06-24: Fluminense 2 – 1 Bahia
- 2021-08-30: Fluminense 2 – 0 Bahia
- 2020-10-11: Fluminense 1 – 0 Bahia
These home victories for Fluminense often feature tight margins and, in most cases, resulted in Under 2.5 total goals. The most recent fixture in August 2025 saw a thrilling 3-3 draw at Bahia’s home ground, indicating both teams are capable of finding the net.
Our Prediction
Given Fluminense’s formidable home record against Bahia, coupled with their slightly superior league position and the motivation to secure a higher finish in front of their home crowd on the final matchday, we anticipate a strong performance from the home side. The historical data at Fluminense’s stadium strongly favors them in this matchup.
Our betting tip is for
Fluminense to Win
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