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The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A season draws to a close with a Matchday 38 fixture featuring SC Corinthians Paulista hosting EC Juventude. This encounter at the Neo Química Arena carries different implications for each side as the campaign concludes.
Corinthians enters this final match in a mid-table position, having secured their Série A status and potentially looking to climb a few spots for improved prize money or a Copa Sudamericana berth. Playing at home, they will be eager to end their season on a high note in front of their loyal supporters.
On the other side, EC Juventude faces a far bleaker reality. Already mathematically relegated, they will be playing for pride, but motivation might be severely lacking given their fate. Their season has been a struggle, particularly away from home.
Current League Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense FC | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo FR | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | São Paulo FC | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Grêmio FBPA | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | CR Vasco da Gama | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceará SC | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | EC Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | -16 | 39 |
| 18 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | EC Juventude | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | SC Recife | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | -41 | 17 |
- SC Corinthians Paulista: Currently sitting in 12th position with 45 points from 35 games. They have a goal difference of -4 (38 goals scored, 42 conceded). Their position is relatively safe, but a strong finish could improve their final league standing.
- EC Juventude: Anchored at 19th position, Juventude has accumulated only 34 points from 36 games. With a stark goal difference of -31 (34 goals scored, 65 conceded), they are mathematically relegated to Série B. Their struggles have been evident throughout the campaign, particularly in defense.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Recent Encounters
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | EC Juventude | 2 - 1 | SC Corinthians Paulista |
| 04 Aug 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | SC Corinthians Paulista | 1 - 1 | EC Juventude |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | EC Juventude | 2 - 0 | SC Corinthians Paulista |
| 05 Oct 2022 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | EC Juventude | 2 - 2 | SC Corinthians Paulista |
| 11 Jun 2022 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | SC Corinthians Paulista | 2 - 0 | EC Juventude |
A look at recent head-to-head encounters between Corinthians and Juventude reveals an interesting dynamic:
- In the last two home matches against Juventude, Corinthians has recorded one win (2-0 in June 2022) and one draw (1-1 in August 2024).
- Overall, in the last seven meetings across all venues, Juventude holds a slight edge with three wins, all achieved on their home turf. Corinthians has secured one win, and there have been three draws.
- It’s clear that while Juventude has found success against Corinthians when hosting, their away form in this fixture against the Timão is less impressive, with a loss and a draw in their most recent visits.
Our Prediction
Considering the current league standings and the respective motivations of both teams, SC Corinthians Paulista appears to be in a commanding position for this Matchday 38 clash. Juventude’s relegation is confirmed, which often leads to a drop in performance and morale for the final games of a season, especially when playing away.
Corinthians, playing at home, will be aiming to provide their fans with a victorious end to the campaign. Their mid-table comfort, combined with Juventude’s poor form and lack of a tangible objective, points towards a home victory. While head-to-head results have been mixed, Corinthians’ home advantage against a demotivated Juventude side is a significant factor.
Therefore, our expert betting tip is:
Corinthians to Win
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