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The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A season draws to a close with a fascinating encounter at the bottom end of the table as SC Recife hosts Grêmio FBPA. While Recife’s fate is sealed, having already been relegated as the bottom-placed team, they will be playing for pride in front of their home crowd in this final match of the campaign. Grêmio, currently sitting in a comfortable mid-table position, will be looking to finish their season on a high, potentially improving their final league standing for better prize money or continental qualification seeding. Despite the stark difference in their league positions, historical head-to-head encounters suggest this fixture is far from straightforward.
Current League Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense FC | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo FR | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | São Paulo FC | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Grêmio FBPA | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | CR Vasco da Gama | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceará SC | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | EC Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | -16 | 39 |
| 18 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | EC Juventude | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | SC Recife | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | -41 | 17 |
- SC Recife: Currently at the bottom of the table in 20th position with a mere 17 points from 36 games. Their season record stands at 2 wins, 11 draws, and 23 losses, with a goal difference of -41 (28 goals scored, 69 conceded).
- Grêmio FBPA: Positioned 9th in the league with 46 points after 36 matches. Grêmio has registered 12 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, holding a goal difference of -6 (42 goals scored, 48 conceded).
Head-to-Head Analysis
Recent Encounters
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Grêmio FBPA | 0 - 1 | SC Recife |
| 03 Oct 2021 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Grêmio FBPA | 1 - 2 | SC Recife |
| 17 Jun 2021 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | SC Recife | 1 - 0 | Grêmio FBPA |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | SC Recife | 1 - 1 | Grêmio FBPA |
| 03 Sep 2020 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Grêmio FBPA | 1 - 2 | SC Recife |
The head-to-head record between SC Recife and Grêmio FBPA presents a surprising narrative that defies Recife’s current league form. In their last five Campeonato Brasileiro Série A meetings, SC Recife has a dominant record against Grêmio:
- SC Recife has won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- The most recent match, played earlier this season (2025-08-10), saw SC Recife secure an impressive 1-0 away victory against Grêmio.
- When SC Recife has hosted Grêmio, their recent record includes a 1-0 win (2021) and a 1-1 draw (2020), meaning Recife is unbeaten at home against Grêmio in the provided historical data.
- Grêmio, conversely, has struggled significantly against Recife, failing to secure a win in their last five league meetings and losing all three of their recent home matches against them.
This historical dominance by Recife over Grêmio is a critical factor, even considering Recife’s dire overall season performance.
Our Prediction
While SC Recife has endured an abysmal season leading to their relegation, their specific head-to-head record against Grêmio is remarkably strong. They not only beat Grêmio away earlier this season but also boast an unbeaten home record against them in recent memory. Playing their final home game of the season, a relegated team can sometimes play with freedom and a desire to give their fans a parting gift. Grêmio, though far superior in the league standings, has historically struggled in this fixture. Considering these factors, the value lies in backing the home side to avoid defeat.
Betting Tip:
SC Recife Double Chance (Win or Draw)
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