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Ajax vs Benfica Prediction

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UEFA Champions League Matchday 5 brings a clash between two European giants in AFC Ajax and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, both desperately seeking their first points in what has been a dismal campaign for each. Set to kick off on November 25, 2025, this encounter sees two teams at the bottom of the league phase standings, with pride and a faint hope of salvaging something from their European adventure at stake. Both sides have shown severe struggles, particularly in attack, making this a pivotal match to assess their European aspirations.

Current League Standings

League Table
PosTeamPlWDLGDPts
1FC Bayern München44001112
2Arsenal FC44001112
3FC Internazionale Milano44001012
4Manchester City FC4310710
5Paris Saint-Germain FC430199
6Newcastle United FC430189
7Real Madrid CF430169
8Liverpool FC430159
9Galatasaray SK430129
10Tottenham Hotspur FC422058
11FC Barcelona421157
12Chelsea FC421137
13Sporting Clube de Portugal421137
14Borussia Dortmund421127
15Atalanta BC4211-27
16Qarabağ Ağdam FK421117
17Club Atlético de Madrid420216
18PSV412125
19AS Monaco FC4121-25
20Paphos FC4121-35
21Bayer 04 Leverkusen4121-45
22Club Brugge KV4112-24
23Eintracht Frankfurt4112-44
24SSC Napoli4112-54
25Olympique de Marseille410313
26Juventus FC4031-13
27Athletic Club4103-53
28Royale Union Saint-Gilloise4103-83
29FK Bodø/Glimt4022-32
30SK Slavia Praha4022-62
31PAE Olympiakos SFP4022-72
32Villarreal CF4013-41
33FC København4013-81
34FK Kairat4013-91
35Sport Lisboa e Benfica4004-60
36AFC Ajax4004-130

The 2025-2026 UEFA Champions League season has been unforgiving for both Ajax and Benfica:

  • AFC Ajax: Position 36, Played 4, Won 0, Draw 0, Lost 4, Points 0. They’ve scored a mere 1 goal while conceding a staggering 14, resulting in a -13 goal difference.
  • Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Position 35, Played 4, Won 0, Draw 0, Lost 4, Points 0. Benfica has managed 2 goals but conceded 8, giving them a -6 goal difference.

With both teams failing to register a single point after four matches, their chances of progressing are mathematically impossible or extremely remote, turning this fixture into a battle for pride and potentially a spot in the Europa League knockout stages, depending on the tournament’s specific format beyond the league phase.

Head-to-Head Analysis

H2H Results Table

Recent Encounters

DateCompetitionHome TeamScoreAway Team
15 Mar 2022UEFA Champions LeagueAFC Ajax0 - 1Sport Lisboa e Benfica
23 Feb 2022UEFA Champions LeagueSport Lisboa e Benfica2 - 2AFC Ajax

Looking back at their recent UEFA Champions League encounters from the 2021-2022 season, the history between these two teams has been close:

  • March 15, 2022: AFC Ajax (Home) 0 – 1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica (Away)
  • February 23, 2022: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (Home) 2 – 2 AFC Ajax (Away)

In their last two Champions League meetings, Benfica holds a slight edge with one win and one draw. The most recent match saw Benfica secure a 1-0 away victory at Ajax. These matches have shown moments of both defensive solidity and offensive flair, but their current form in the 2025-2026 campaign paints a drastically different picture.

Our Prediction

Given the abysmal scoring records of both teams in the current Champions League season – Ajax with 1 goal and Benfica with 2 goals from four matches each – it’s evident that offensive potency is severely lacking. Combined, they have scored just 3 goals in 8 games. This points strongly towards a low-scoring affair. Despite playing for pride, neither side has demonstrated the attacking prowess to suggest a goal-fest.

Our top betting tip for this Matchday 5 encounter is:

Under 2.5 Goals

 

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