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Atalanta vs Fiorentina Prediction

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Bookmaker1 (Home)X (Draw)2 (Away)
BetUS-165+290+420
MyBookie-170+285+410
xBet-160+300+430
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Matchday 13 in Serie A brings us a fascinating encounter as Atalanta BC host ACF Fiorentina. Scheduled for November 30, 2025, this fixture pits two teams with contrasting fortunes in the early stages of the season. Atalanta, often a challenger for European spots, will be looking to solidify their standing, while Fiorentina is in desperate need of a turnaround.

Atalanta will enjoy the home advantage, a factor that often plays a significant role in the tight Serie A schedule. Their season so far has been characterized by resilience, even if wins have been hard to come by. Fiorentina, on the other hand, is struggling immensely and will need to produce something special to get a result on the road.

Current League Standings

League Table
PosTeamPlWDLGDPts
1AS Roma12903927
2AC Milan12741925
3SSC Napoli12813825
4FC Internazionale Milano128041324
5Bologna FC 1909127321324
6Como 1907125611021
7Juventus FC12552420
8SS Lazio12534618
9US Sassuolo Calcio12525217
10Udinese Calcio12435-815
11US Cremonese12354-314
12Torino FC12354-1014
13Atalanta BC12273013
14Cagliari Calcio12255-511
15Parma Calcio 191312255-611
16AC Pisa 190912174-610
17US Lecce12246-810
18Genoa CFC12156-88
19ACF Fiorentina12066-96
20Hellas Verona FC12066-116

As of Matchday 12, the Serie A table paints a clear picture of each team’s current trajectory:

  • Atalanta BC: Position 13 (13 points)
    • Played: 12
    • Won: 2
    • Draw: 7
    • Lost: 3
    • Goals For: 14
    • Goals Against: 14
    • Goal Difference: 0
  • ACF Fiorentina: Position 19 (6 points)
    • Played: 12
    • Won: 0
    • Draw: 6
    • Lost: 6
    • Goals For: 10
    • Goals Against: 19
    • Goal Difference: -9

Fiorentina’s position is particularly concerning, as they remain winless after 12 league matches. Their struggle to find the back of the net, coupled with a leaky defense, highlights the immense challenge they face against any opponent, let alone Atalanta at home.

Head-to-Head Analysis

H2H Results Table

Recent Encounters

DateCompetitionHome TeamScoreAway Team
30 Mar 2025Serie AACF Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta BC
15 Sep 2024Serie AAtalanta BC3 - 2ACF Fiorentina
02 Jun 2024Serie AAtalanta BC2 - 3ACF Fiorentina
17 Sep 2023Serie AACF Fiorentina3 - 2Atalanta BC
17 Apr 2023Serie AACF Fiorentina1 - 1Atalanta BC

The history between Atalanta and Fiorentina suggests a fiercely contested rivalry, with recent results being quite balanced. Over the last 11 Serie A encounters, both teams have secured 5 wins each, with one draw. However, the aggregate number of goals, 48 goals in 15 matches (which includes some cup games not listed here), points to a history of open and often high-scoring games. Recent results include:

  • 2025-03-30: Fiorentina 1-0 Atalanta
  • 2024-09-15: Atalanta 3-2 Fiorentina
  • 2024-06-02: Atalanta 2-3 Fiorentina
  • 2023-09-17: Fiorentina 3-2 Atalanta
  • 2023-04-17: Fiorentina 1-1 Atalanta
  • 2022-10-02: Atalanta 1-0 Fiorentina
  • 2021-09-11: Atalanta 1-2 Fiorentina

While past results show a competitive balance, current form is paramount. Atalanta has shown they can beat Fiorentina at home, securing victories like 3-2 and 1-0 in recent seasons. The high-scoring nature of many of these matches also stands out.

Our Prediction

Considering Fiorentina’s alarming form this season – 0 wins from 12 matches, languishing near the bottom of the table – it’s incredibly difficult to back them, especially away from home. Atalanta, despite drawing many games, has proven to be a tough side to beat and holds a significant advantage in terms of league position and overall performance. While their goal difference of zero suggests they aren’t blowing teams away, their ability to score and their home advantage should be enough to overcome a struggling Fiorentina.

The most compelling statistic is Fiorentina’s inability to secure a victory. This lack of winning mentality will be a massive hurdle against an Atalanta side keen to climb the table.

Our betting tip for this Serie A fixture is clear:

Atalanta BC to Win

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