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Brentford vs Burnley Prediction

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Premier League action returns on Saturday, November 29th, as Brentford FC host struggling Burnley FC at their home ground for Matchday 13 of the 2025/2026 season. This fixture pits a mid-table Brentford side against a Burnley team languishing in the relegation zone, making it a crucial encounter for both clubs with very different aspirations.

Brentford will be looking to capitalize on home advantage and secure three vital points to climb further up the league table, potentially pushing towards the top half. For Burnley, every match is a battle for survival, and they desperately need to start picking up points to escape the clutches of the bottom three. Expect a determined performance from both sides, but the pressure will be particularly high on the visiting Clarets.

Current League Standings

League Table
PosTeamPlWDLGDPts
1Arsenal FC129211829
2Chelsea FC127231223
3Manchester City FC127141422
4Aston Villa FC12633421
5Crystal Palace FC12552720
6Brighton & Hove Albion FC12543319
7Sunderland AFC12543319
8AFC Bournemouth12543-119
9Tottenham Hotspur FC12534618
10Manchester United FC12534018
11Everton FC12534018
12Liverpool FC12606-218
13Brentford FC12516-116
14Newcastle United FC12435-215
15Fulham FC12426-314
16Nottingham Forest FC12336-712
17West Ham United FC12327-1011
18Leeds United FC12327-1111
19Burnley FC12318-1010
20Wolverhampton Wanderers FC120210-202

As we approach Matchday 13, the league standings paint a clear picture of each team’s season so far:

  • Brentford FC: Currently sitting in 13th position with 16 points from 12 games. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses. With 18 goals scored and 19 conceded, their goal difference is -1, indicating a relatively balanced but inconsistent performance.
  • Burnley FC: Occupying 19th position in the league table, they are firmly entrenched in the relegation zone with just 10 points from 12 matches. Their record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and a concerning 8 losses. They have scored 14 goals but conceded 24, giving them a goal difference of -10, highlighting their defensive struggles and lack of cutting edge.

The six-point gap between the two teams underscores Brentford’s stronger start to the campaign, while Burnley faces an uphill battle to retain their Premier League status.

Head-to-Head Analysis

H2H Results Table

Recent Encounters

DateCompetitionHome TeamScoreAway Team
16 Mar 2024Premier LeagueBurnley FC2 - 1Brentford FC
21 Oct 2023Premier LeagueBrentford FC3 - 0Burnley FC
12 Mar 2022Premier LeagueBrentford FC2 - 0Burnley FC
30 Oct 2021Premier LeagueBurnley FC3 - 1Brentford FC

Looking at the recent Premier League history between Brentford and Burnley, a clear pattern emerges:

  • Burnley 2-1 Brentford (16 March 2024)
  • Brentford 3-0 Burnley (21 October 2023)
  • Brentford 2-0 Burnley (12 March 2022)
  • Burnley 3-1 Brentford (30 October 2021)

In their last four Premier League encounters, the home team has emerged victorious on every occasion. Brentford has secured two convincing home wins against Burnley, scoring five goals and conceding none in those fixtures. Burnley, likewise, has enjoyed success when playing at Turf Moor. This strong home advantage trend will be a significant factor in our prediction for this upcoming match.

Our Prediction

Considering Brentford’s superior league position, better goal difference, and the crucial home advantage, they appear to be the favorites heading into this clash. Burnley’s struggles, particularly their defensive frailties highlighted by their goal difference, make a trip to the Gtech Community Stadium a daunting prospect.

The head-to-head record further strengthens the case for the home side, with a consistent pattern of the hosts taking all three points. Brentford has historically performed well against Burnley at home, demonstrating their ability to control these fixtures.

Therefore, our expert betting tip for this Premier League encounter is on the home side to secure the victory.

Betting Tip:

Brentford to Win

 

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