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Everton vs Newcastle Prediction

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The Premier League action continues on Matchday 13 as Everton FC host Newcastle United FC at Goodison Park. Both teams find themselves in the mid-table battle, with Everton sitting 11th and Newcastle just a few places behind in 14th. This fixture promises to be a tightly contested affair, with neither side showing significant dominance in their head-to-head encounters or current league form. As we delve into the statistics and recent performances, we’ll pinpoint the most valuable betting opportunity.

Current League Standings

League Table
PosTeamPlWDLGDPts
1Arsenal FC129211829
2Chelsea FC127231223
3Manchester City FC127141422
4Aston Villa FC12633421
5Crystal Palace FC12552720
6Brighton & Hove Albion FC12543319
7Sunderland AFC12543319
8AFC Bournemouth12543-119
9Tottenham Hotspur FC12534618
10Manchester United FC12534018
11Everton FC12534018
12Liverpool FC12606-218
13Brentford FC12516-116
14Newcastle United FC12435-215
15Fulham FC12426-314
16Nottingham Forest FC12336-712
17West Ham United FC12327-1011
18Leeds United FC12327-1111
19Burnley FC12318-1010
20Wolverhampton Wanderers FC120210-202
  • Everton FC: Position 11, Played 12, Won 5, Drawn 3, Lost 4, Points 18, Goal Difference 0 (Goals For: 13, Goals Against: 13)
  • Newcastle United FC: Position 14, Played 12, Won 4, Drawn 3, Lost 5, Points 15, Goal Difference -2 (Goals For: 13, Goals Against: 15)

Everton enters this match with a slight edge in the league standings and a neutral goal difference, suggesting a balanced approach to their game. Newcastle, despite being only three points behind, has a negative goal difference, indicating a slightly less robust defensive record. Both teams have scored an identical number of goals (13) after 12 matches, highlighting a potential for a low-scoring encounter.

Head-to-Head Analysis

H2H Results Table

Recent Encounters

DateCompetitionHome TeamScoreAway Team
25 May 2025Premier LeagueNewcastle United FC0 - 1Everton FC
05 Oct 2024Premier LeagueEverton FC0 - 0Newcastle United FC
02 Apr 2024Premier LeagueNewcastle United FC1 - 1Everton FC
07 Dec 2023Premier LeagueEverton FC3 - 0Newcastle United FC
27 Apr 2023Premier LeagueEverton FC1 - 4Newcastle United FC

Looking at the last 11 Premier League meetings between Everton and Newcastle United since January 2020, the history is quite balanced:

  • Everton Wins: 3
  • Newcastle Wins: 5
  • Draws: 3

The total goals scored across these 11 matches is 26, averaging out to 2.36 goals per game. This average leans towards a lower-scoring outcome rather than a high-scoring thriller. More specifically, 6 of these 11 matches (more than half) concluded with Under 2.5 Goals. Recent results include a 0-1 Everton win away and a 0-0 draw at Goodison, reinforcing the trend of closely fought, often low-scoring contests.

Our Prediction

Considering the current league standings, where both teams have modest attacking returns and decent, though not spectacular, defensive records, combined with the head-to-head analysis showing a tendency for fewer goals, our expert pick leans towards a defensive battle. Both sides have scored only 13 goals in 12 league games this season, and their H2H average reinforces the expectation of a tight match.

Our betting tip for this Premier League clash is:

Under 2.5 Goals

 

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