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The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A enters its crucial Matchday 37, setting the stage for an intriguing clash between Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC on December 3, 2025. Hosted by Grêmio, this fixture pits a mid-table side against a team fighting for continental qualification. As the season draws to a close, both teams will be looking to secure valuable points for different objectives.
Current League Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 74 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 63 |
| 5 | Botafogo FR | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 58 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 56 |
| 7 | Fluminense FC | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 55 |
| 8 | São Paulo FC | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 48 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | -13 | 45 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 12 | Grêmio FBPA | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceará SC | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | -8 | 41 |
| 16 | EC Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -14 | 38 |
| 18 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -16 | 34 |
| 19 | EC Juventude | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | -31 | 33 |
| 20 | SC Recife | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | -38 | 17 |
As of Matchday 35 in the 2025 Série A season, the two teams find themselves in different positions:
- Fluminense FC: Currently sitting in 7th place with 55 points from 35 games. They have recorded 16 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, with a positive goal difference of +2 (40 goals for, 38 against). Fluminense is firmly in the hunt for a Copa Libertadores or Copa Sudamericana spot.
- Grêmio FBPA: Positioned at 12th place with 43 points after 35 matches. Their record includes 11 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, resulting in a negative goal difference of -7 (39 goals for, 46 against). Grêmio will be aiming to finish the season strongly and improve their standing.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Recent Encounters
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Fluminense FC | 1 - 0 | Grêmio FBPA |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Fluminense FC | 2 - 2 | Grêmio FBPA |
| 20 Aug 2024 | Copa Libertadores | Fluminense FC | 4 - 2 | Grêmio FBPA |
| 13 Aug 2024 | Copa Libertadores | Grêmio FBPA | 2 - 1 | Fluminense FC |
| 30 Jun 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Grêmio FBPA | 1 - 0 | Fluminense FC |
The historical rivalry between Grêmio and Fluminense has seen some compelling encounters. Looking at their last 11 meetings across all competitions:
- Grêmio has a dominant record, securing 8 victories.
- Fluminense has managed 2 wins.
- There has been 1 draw.
More specifically, when Grêmio plays host to Fluminense, their home advantage becomes even more pronounced. Grêmio has won their last 5 home matches against Fluminense, demonstrating a clear historical superiority on their turf. These victories include a 2-1 win in the Copa Libertadores (2024), a 1-0 win in the Série A (2024), and consecutive 2-1, 1-0, and 1-0 wins in previous Série A seasons (2023, 2021, 2020 respectively). This pattern suggests that Grêmio often finds a way to get the better of Fluminense in front of their home crowd, regardless of overall league form.
Our Prediction
While Fluminense sits higher in the current league standings and is fighting for a continental berth, the historical head-to-head record, especially when Grêmio is at home, cannot be ignored. Grêmio has shown a remarkable ability to defeat Fluminense in their own stadium, consistently leveraging their home advantage. Given this strong historical trend and the pressure on both sides to perform in the penultimate matchday, we lean towards the home team to secure the points.
Our best betting tip for this match is:
Grêmio to Win
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