Match Preview
The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A heats up as Grêmio FBPA prepares to host SE Palmeiras in a crucial Matchday 36 encounter. With the season nearing its climax, both teams have distinct objectives. Grêmio, currently positioned in the mid-table, will be looking to secure points at home and finish their season on a strong note. For Palmeiras, however, the stakes are significantly higher. Sitting comfortably in second place, they are in a fierce battle for the league title, making every remaining fixture a must-win situation.
This match promises to be a tactical affair, with Palmeiras aiming for three vital points to keep pace at the top, while Grêmio will undoubtedly leverage their home advantage to try and upset the title contenders. Expect a disciplined performance from both sides, particularly from Palmeiras who will prioritize defensive solidity on their path to potential silverware.
Current League Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 74 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 63 |
| 5 | Botafogo FR | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 58 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 56 |
| 7 | Fluminense FC | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 55 |
| 8 | São Paulo FC | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 48 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | -13 | 45 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 12 | Grêmio FBPA | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | -2 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceará SC | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | -8 | 41 |
| 16 | EC Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 35 | 9 | 11 | 15 | -14 | 38 |
| 18 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -16 | 34 |
| 19 | EC Juventude | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | -31 | 33 |
| 20 | SC Recife | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | -38 | 17 |
As of Matchday 35, the league table paints a clear picture of the season’s narratives for these two clubs:
- SE Palmeiras: Position 2 | Played: 35 | Won: 21 | Draw: 7 | Lost: 7 | Points: 70 | Goals For: 58 | Goals Against: 29 | Goal Difference: +29
- Grêmio FBPA: Position 12 | Played: 35 | Won: 11 | Draw: 10 | Lost: 14 | Points: 43 | Goals For: 39 | Goals Against: 46 | Goal Difference: -7
Palmeiras demonstrates strong form and a robust defense, indicative of a team challenging for the top spot. Grêmio, while not in contention for the title, is comfortably clear of the relegation zone, suggesting they might play with less pressure but still with the desire to perform well in front of their home crowd.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Recent Encounters
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | SE Palmeiras | 1 - 0 | Grêmio FBPA |
| 09 Nov 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | SE Palmeiras | 1 - 0 | Grêmio FBPA |
| 04 Jul 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Grêmio FBPA | 2 - 2 | SE Palmeiras |
| 22 Sep 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | Grêmio FBPA | 1 - 0 | SE Palmeiras |
| 11 May 2023 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | SE Palmeiras | 4 - 1 | Grêmio FBPA |
Looking at the last 9 Campeonato Brasileiro Série A matches between Grêmio and Palmeiras since September 2020, a distinct pattern emerges:
- Palmeiras has been dominant, securing 5 victories.
- Grêmio has managed only 1 win against Palmeiras in this period.
- There have been 3 draws.
- The scores of these encounters include: 1-0, 1-0, 2-2, 1-0, 4-1, 1-3, 2-0, 1-1, 1-1.
- Crucially, 6 out of these 9 matches have ended with Under 2.5 total goals.
- The average goals per game in these 9 matches is approximately 2.44, reinforcing the tendency for lower-scoring affairs.
- Many of Palmeiras’ wins have been narrow (e.g., 1-0, 1-0, 2-0), highlighting their defensive strength.
Our Prediction
Considering Palmeiras’ position as a title contender, their excellent defensive record (29 goals conceded in 35 games), and the historical head-to-head trend, we anticipate a tightly contested match. Grêmio’s offensive output hasn’t been prolific, and against a strong Palmeiras defense, goals are likely to be at a premium. The head-to-head statistics strongly support a low-scoring game, with 6 of the last 9 league meetings featuring fewer than 2.5 goals.
Therefore, the best betting tip for this match is:
Under 2.5 Goals
