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The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A season culminates with a high-stakes encounter on December 7, 2025, as EC Vitória host São Paulo FC. This Matchday 38 fixture carries immense significance for the home side, EC Vitória, who are locked in a desperate battle for survival in Brazil’s top flight. São Paulo, while positioned comfortably in the upper mid-table, will aim to finish their campaign strongly and continue their recent dominance over Vitória. Expect a fiery contest with plenty of attacking intent, especially from the home team.
Current League Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 75 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 17 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 63 |
| 5 | Fluminense FC | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 58 |
| 6 | Botafogo FR | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 58 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | São Paulo FC | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | -6 | 48 |
| 9 | Grêmio FBPA | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | CR Vasco da Gama | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 45 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | -14 | 45 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Ceará SC | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -3 | 42 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | EC Vitória | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | -16 | 39 |
| 18 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | EC Juventude | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -31 | 34 |
| 20 | SC Recife | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | -41 | 17 |
- EC Vitória: Currently sitting in a precarious 17th position with 39 points from 35 games, EC Vitória are deep in the relegation zone. With only a few games remaining, every point is vital. Their goal difference of -16 (32 goals for, 48 against) highlights defensive vulnerabilities they must overcome to avoid the drop.
- São Paulo FC: São Paulo occupies the 8th spot in the league table, accumulating 48 points from 36 matches. With a goal difference of -6 (40 goals for, 46 against), they are secure from relegation and are pushing for a spot in continental competitions next season. Their form has been solid, positioning them as a strong contender even on the road.
Head-to-Head Analysis
Recent Encounters
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Score | Away Team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | São Paulo FC | 2 - 0 | EC Vitória |
| 25 Aug 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | São Paulo FC | 2 - 1 | EC Vitória |
| 05 May 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | EC Vitória | 1 - 3 | São Paulo FC |
Recent history between these two clubs heavily favors São Paulo FC. In their last three Campeonato Brasileiro Série A meetings:
- São Paulo 2 – 0 Vitória (2025-08-09)
- São Paulo 2 – 1 Vitória (2024-08-25)
- Vitória 1 – 3 São Paulo (2024-05-05)
São Paulo has secured wins in all three of these recent encounters, consistently demonstrating their attacking prowess by scoring at least two goals in each match against EC Vitória. This impressive scoring record highlights a consistent ability to breach Vitória’s defense, regardless of the venue.
Our Prediction
Considering EC Vitória’s desperate fight against relegation, they will be forced to attack aggressively, particularly at home. This urgency, however, often leaves teams vulnerable at the back. São Paulo, a team that has consistently found the net against Vitória in recent history, will be well-positioned to exploit any defensive gaps. São Paulo’s superior league position and their dominant head-to-head record where they’ve scored 2 or more goals in their last three meetings against Vitória strongly suggest they can do so again.
Our expert betting tip for this crucial match is:
São Paulo Team Total Goals Over 1.5
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